Presenting the American Case
DANIEL P. MOYNIHAN
IN THE PERIOD AHEAD, THERE WILL BE MUCH TALK about the decline of American influence
in the world. This will give pleasure to many and instruction to some, and is
perhaps to be welcomed on that score. So much so that a case could be made for
holding rather closely the knowledge that this decline has been going on for
quite a long while, and that it commenced for reasons having nothing to do with
the events or the political leaders of the third quarter of the twentieth century.
American prestige in the world reached its height in i g i g with the founding
of the League of Nations and the extraordinary position of Woodrow Wilson, who
for a moment seemed to embody, and in that sense to unify, the hopes of the
peoples of the "civilized" world. The moment did not last long, owing
in part to a failure of men and institutions in the United States itself. We
were not prepared to make the commitment that would have made possible some
practical consequences of this extraordinary, if unfocused and fleeting, consensus.
It is a sorrowful enough memory, and there is no use to dwell upon it overmuch,
but it is useful at this time for at least some person to be clear about what
influence means to a nation: it means that other nations want to be like you.
The United States had had such influence for a long whilemost of the nineteenth
century. Anyone starting up a new government in the Western world was quite
likely to model it on that of the United States. This influence was shared,
to be sure, with the British and French, whose own institutions could be seen
as closely related. But America's size and economic power, along
with its newness, steadily eclipsed the constitutional example of the two older
nations. In the first chapter of The American Commonwealth James Bryce explained
that the "institutions of the United States are deemed by inhabitants and
admitted by strangers to be a matter of more general interest than those of
the not less famous nations of the Old World . . . for they are believed to
disclose and display the type of institutions towards which, as by a law of
fate, the rest of civilized mankind are forced to move, some with swifter, others
with slower, but all with unresting feet." The seemingly decisive American
entry into World War I on behalf of these allies further confirmed the American
ascendancy. New nations and new governments, actual or hopeful, not only wished
to be like the United States; some wished to be associated with it as well.
Wilson at Paris enthusiastically took up the cause of the Armenians, who, unluckily
for them, never succeeded in getting the association they hoped for. Unluckily
for us, he does not appear to have been in touch with Ho Chi Minh, who was also
in Paris at that time, also seeking a new regime. When it was agreed that the
world itself needed a new government, the American president had the very thing,
a world order modeled directly on the American federal system-constitution,
court, legislature, executive, and all.
Now that is influence. Americans, however-and this is not so very unusual, either
for individuals or nations-did not seem especially aware of this influence.
Or, if they were aware of it, they were not notably zealous to preserve it.
At one level, we actively sought to shed it. Certainly it was far reduced a
quarter-century later when of a sudden we found ourselves concerned with such
matters, and commenced the fretful assessment that has rather characterized
us since. This could not be reassuring, and has not been. For the United States
in 1945 had a curiously unbalanced mix of power, of which the ideological component
was even then recessive. Hans J. Morgenthau, in Politics Among Nations, describes
political power in the context of international relations as deriving from three
sources: "the expectation of benefits, the fear of disadvantages, the respect
or love for men or institutions." It is probably rare for a great power
to possess these advantages in a wholly symmetrical manner, and there was certainly
a significant imbalance in the American position of a generation ago. We could
evoke the expectation of benefits-history will surely attest to that; and we
had given evidence of the disadvantages of being on the opposite side from us
in a major conflict. We could even evoke the expectation of benefits from the
defeated, giving rise in this period, to the reported Israeli plan to declare
war on the United States in order to reap the benefits of occupation, a plan
finally shelved when it occurred to the smaller country that it might win. But
we did not evoke that much respect or love, either for men or for institutions.
How so? A satisfactory answer would involve an achievement of historical analysis
beyond the purposes of this paper, and possibly beyond the potential of this
period, but two elements appear significant. In the first place, we were too
successful; it was unnatural. There, in 1945, was a world in ruins-or, in the
case of colonial nations, still in fetters. Only the Western hemisphere escaped,
and we stood astride it. All was humiliation save for us. How could we not be
detested? The few exceptions are instructive. Britain emerged from the war with
enough self-respect, France without enough. Their postwar relations with the
United States seem controlled by this beginning circumstance. Germany and Japan,
defeated, found it easiest to be emulative. The process by which oversuccessful
nations are combined against by other nations and reduced in circumstance is
nothing new. To all appearances, some such thing began almost the moment the
American colossus made its appearance-a process much abetted by the genuine
American desire to see other nations rise again.
If one element of the American difficulty arose from too little competition,
another arose from too much. Our economy was the largest on earth, our atom
bombs the biggest, our Navy the best. But much of the world was then engaged,
and for several generations had been engaged (and has continued to be engaged),
in an ideological struggle between totalitarian and democratic socialism. The
American liberal example attracted few followers. Those who were attracted have
not necessarily been the worse for it, but their example has produced little
emulation-suggesting that history has simply not been with us in this time.
The first communist revolution-totalitarian socialism-came with the end of World
War 1, and, after a phase of expansion, communism was consolidated as "socialism
in one country" for a period that lasted a generation. With the end of
World War 11, expansion resumed with great success, only to cease more or less
by 1948. By that time-less noticed, somehow, but not less emphatic-the rise
of democratic socialism had commenced. The scores of new nations that came into
being the world over modeled themselves not on the United States, nor yet on
the Soviet Union, but on various models of democratic socialism that had been
formulated in Western Europe earlier in the century and had to some degree been
put into practice there. The most conspicuous example was that of Britain under
the Labour Party, an example certainly not lost on the forty-six new nations
formed from the British Empire after 1947. This trend has been so marked, I
have argued, that if the first event is to be termed the Russian Revolution,
the British Revolution seems a fair designation for the second. In each instance,
a nation was first influenced by an ideology, whereupon the ideology was influenced
by the nation. A distinctive compound emerged, only to be adapted further in
other settings, and even to be transmuted in some, but always, if you will,
with this genealogy in its luggage.
In the "Russian" and "British" competition, the United States
was ever a poor third. This was not merely a matter of other models of government
being more attractive: both these other models had acquired specifically anti-American
biases so strong that to be attracted to them was to grow averse to us. For
communists, we were capitalists; nor could they forget that after their revolution
had begun, Woodrow Wilson sent American troops to try to put it down. For socialists,
we were, in the old sense of the word, liberals. Charles Francis Adams, as minister
in London, was perhaps not wrong when he wrote in 1865, "The progress of
the Liberal cause, not in England alone, but all over the world, is, in a measure,
in our hands." Well, the liberal cause was not the socialist cause-certainly
not as time went by-and this opposi-
tion, however muted at first and however civil, was never lost from view and
in time grew less civil, rather as world politics did. Henry Pelling, in his
study America and the British Left, traces the centurylong transformation of
the American image from admiration in the nineteenth century to something near
detestation-certainly fear-in the twentieth. On the British Left America came
to be singled out as a place where the worst was likely to happen: not a good
kind of country to be. Pelling notes that to such British observers, "the
New Deal itself, it seemed, might be a first step on the road to the creation
of a Fascist state." We have, of course, been trudging that weary road
ever since. Little wonder that when American economic and military power declined
relatively, the time should have-come when American influence as a whole would
be seen to have precipitously declined.
This history, if it be accepted as such, does somewhat suggest how the United
States might respond to this declining position. At the very least it suggests
the nature of the decline. It must be understood, for example, that while we
have spent a generation mobilized or actually at war on the borders of the communist
world, during that time the socialist world, a different world, has been changing
in ways little to our advantage. It must be understood, too (a point made by
Zbigniew Brzezinski), that the Soviet Union is increasingly the beneficiary
of confrontation between the United States and the new nations, just as the
new nations had benefited from confrontation between the Soviets and us. Perhaps
first of all it must be understood that ideas matter in world affairs, and that
competence in dealing with ideas is likely to become more, not less, important.
Hence Max Weber:
Interests (material and ideal), not ideas, dominate directly the actions of
men. Yet the "images of the world" created by these ideas have very
often served as switches determining the tracks on which the dynamism of interests
kept actions moving.
If we had had, for example, a better sense of our ideological disadvantage in
the world, we might have better understood what we were getting into in Southeast
Asia.
Such reflections, if at all sound, would have been warranted at almost any time,
but they would appear to have a special relevance to this moment when so many
indices tell us that the long postwar era is coming to a close. Political commentary
has more than its share of this coming and going of eras, the half-life of any
one of which suggests that "episodes" might be the better term. Yet
the signs this time are persuasive. The settlement of World War II is now about
agreed upon, it having proved well-nigh impossible to change it in any very
significant way.
And so new kinds of relations begin to assume a saliency that in some cases
is long overdue: economic policy toward the communist nations; military policy
toward the new nations; outer space and the seabed enter the domain of international
politics. The problem of war continues, while the specter of famine and pestilence,
long essentially absent from the West, reappears as an aspect of domestic no
less than international politics. For an incontrovertible aspect of the international
system that Mr. Wilson helped to found is that the claims one society may now
routinely make on another are of a kind once virtually reserved to communities
within national societies. A further aspect of the emerging international system
is that it begins to reflect the bias for equality over liberty that is more
and more in evidence in the worldmaking it, in that measure, a world more and
more distant from the one Wilson would have wished for. This must be seen as
a matter of balance. The liberal tradition can be utterly indifferent to equality
and see it as quite opposed to liberty, but this is a nineteenth-century heresy
more than anything else. Correspondingly, the socialist tradition has room aplenty
for liberty. (The question may be asked whether communism is in this sense a
nineteenth-century socialist heresy.) But as liberty is the first principle
of liberalism, for socialism, and of necessity for communism, equality is the
prime test. And equality is the great object of collectivist politics, as Samuel
Beer has used the term.
In that sense, world politics are becoming collectivist: an enormous change-one
which would register, in this reading, the impact of socialist as against communist
mores. We have moved beyond the long-established arrangement that Wordsworth
described in Rob Roy's Grave:
... the good old rule . . . the simple plan, That they should take, who have
the power, And they should keep who can.
Which is not to say there are no nations that will any longer act in this way,
but such actions (until they succeed?) will be depicted as illegitimate in terms
that even the most illegal acts of the past were spared. Or they will be so
depicted when carried out by nations whose regimes are seen as unreconstructed
and accordingly disposed to such predatory actions.
In domestic politics, collectivism asserts a high level of obligation not so
much between individuals as between groupsparticularly groups defined by economic
function and status: the rich, the poor; the middle class, the workers; the
dock laborers, the intellectual workers. It is not so far from the medieval
concept of estate, with its notion of entitlement. What is easily, and routinely,
left out in the modern and secular version is the corresponding notion of obligation.
Certainly this is so in the international version of collectivism. In the present
world, nothing contrasts more sharply than the fierce individualism and assertion
of absolute rights of sovereignty over their own resources of those very states
that are making collectivist claims on the resources of others. So it might
better be said that the language of world politics is becoming collectivist-but
even such a limited event is of profound import for the United States. The main
claims of collectivism are for the redistribution of wealth, for equality; hence
the preponderance of these claims will now be made upon the United States. They
will be made primarily by governments-now the majority of governments-that have
proclaimed egalitarian collectivist ideals within their own societies and, finding
it difficult or impossible to achieve these ideals within the constraints of
their own domestic politics, turn to world politics for relief. They hope to
gain resources they can import; if not, they can export the blame. This means
there is going to be a lot of blame around, for the world is now made up largely
of regimes that have made promises, decent and understandable promises, on which
they have not been able to deliver so far and on which they are not likely to
be able to deliver in the politically relevant future.
Consider India, until recently a great socialist democracy, the greatest-the
first of the new nations to engage in serious socialist planning, proclaiming
collectivist goals. What have been the results? Padma Desai and Jagdish Bhagwati,
in a paper presented to the 1974 meeting of the American Economic Association,
report: ". . . growing studies of income distribution in the country suggest
strongly that the bottom deciles have not improved their consumption levels
since planning began and may, in fact, have become worse off." Consider
what will have to happen in India for this to change much. It has been noted
that in India the growth rate of per-capita income, from 1958 to 1973, or roughly
since planning began, has been a respectable 1.7 percent-better than the historic
growth rate of Europe in the nineteenth century. And yet at this rate it would
take India 12o years to reach the $1,3oo divide that in international statistics
separates the developed from the underdeveloped nations.
Yeats wrote:
Parnell came down the road, he said to a cheering man; Ireland shall have her
freedom and you still break stone.
And this is the hard reality. The world is now almost wholly given over to nations
whose governments are committed to social equality and economic growth. But
few have much of the former, and even a good deal of the latter produces only
slow changes. In this setting, the temptation of governments is to direct attention
to inequalities between nations that ascribe national ills to international
causes. This argument invariably goes to the matter of economic inequalities,
never to inequalities in political and civil liberties. As Theodore A. Sumberg
notes, "Freedom and economic growth used to be allies." But somewhere
in the postwar period the connection was lost-a change all but unremarked. No
national leader engaged in this rhetoric need have any serious concern that
his own regime might be found wanting by similar international comparisons addressed
to inequalities of liberty. It is the sad but inescapable fact that almost everywhere
save in Europe, and a few English-speaking outposts, democratic socialism has
become steadily less democratic in the quarter-century since regimes of this
order began to be founded in such profusion. We cannot know whether this is
because socialism produced demands on government which made democracy impossible;
or because that socialism was never nearly so democratic as we thought, and
always was marred by Marxist-Leninist authoritarian tendencies; or, as is increasingly
proclaimed in places like India, that democracy is a fetish of Western intellectualism
and has no place in non-Western societies. What we do know is that the world
is now mostly comprised of communist and socialist nations (a distinction persists,
and an important one), none of which looks to American democracy as an example
of anything desirable. Our economy is envied, but the effective response is
not to try to emulate it so much as to try to destroy it. Everywhere, equality
is the cry.
To write of this phenomenon with ill-temper or with ridicule is unworthy. Men
and women of true decency and honest commitment to social justice find that
not only is this the only thing they can safely say, but also that this is the
only way they know how to think. Especially in the new nations, the received
political culture of European socialism just doesn't provide alternative explanations
to these problems that have got to be explained. (Latin America, with a different
tradition, has nonetheless found a compatible and reinforcing language.) Thus,
at the meeting of the Non-Aligned Bureau in Havana in March 1975, the Indian
minister of external affairs, Y. B. Chavan, found the world economic situation
"on the verge of a crisis of global proportions" and did not hesitate
to see the cause for this in the political economy of the developed nations:
This global phenomenon has been caused mainly by the policies of the developed
countries, by their mass production, technology, by their
prodigal consumption standards, by their growth-mania, by their diversion of
resources towards a meaningless arms race and by the rapid depletion of the
world's non-renewable raw materials. In the result we have more and more missiles,
hair-dryers and tape-recorders, and less and less foodgrains, fertilizers and
essential goods.
. . . If the present situation were to continue unchanged, we shall see the
rich nations getting richer and the poor nations poorer, while the earth's non-renewable
resources disappear.
The fact that liberty seems to be disappearing even faster seems to matter even
to men of Chavan's stature. Seemingly for all, the ready answer is available:
economic inequality has made freedom impossible. Very simply, at this time,
it appears to be a sufficient answer to the question.
Moreover, it has been for some time, which is to say that the rise of collectivist
doctrine in Britain and elsewhere ineluctably diminished the independent claim
that liberty could make on social arrangements. It is useful to recall that
to the liberal nineteenth century, freedom was the key to social harmony, including
international harmony. Morgenthau records that adherents of free trade, such
as Cobden and Proudhon, "were convinced that the removal of trade barriers
was the only condition for the establishment of permanent harmony among nations,
and might even lead to the disappearance of international politics altogether."
Cobden was more than convinced. "Free trade," he pronounced, "is
the international law of the Almighty." This confidence did not survive
the twentieth century, certainly not in Britain. In 1942, the National Executive
Committee of the Labour Party issued a report, "The Old World and the New
Society," most likely written by Harold Laski, which made this transition
explicit. The war was basically attributed to an "unplanned economic order
[which] went into a frenzy of unreasoning nationalism." The capitalist
class in Germany and Italy destroyed democracy to protect its privileges. Similar
interests elsewhere acted similarly.
It was fear for privileges which, in the epoch of "appeasement," led
so many of the corresponding classes in Britain, France and the United States
to sympathize with the habits and the purposes of the Fascist and
Nazi dictators. . . . They preferred to break the League of Nations rather than
risk the overthrow of the forces of privilege in Germany and Italy. ... All
the major evils of the "appeasement period" are directly traceable
to the unregulated operation of our economic system.
The report continued: "We have learned from the war that the anarchy of
private competition must give way to ordered planning under national control."
The nation must own and operate the es sential instruments of production. Wartime
controls in industry and agriculture must be retained. This would enable "the
reorganization of our export trade to proceed in an orderly and balanced way."
In commodities, for example, there would be an end to "reckless speculation"-and
so through a familiar prescription for economic controls, but now linked to
an international as well as national order. Thirty-three years later, a Commonwealth
Conference convened in Kingston, Jamaica. The Jamaican prime minister, Michael
Manley, according to reports, set the tone for the meeting. Since the era of
political colonialism was almost at an end, he declared, the time was at hand
for the Commonwealth to turn its concerns to "the wide disparities in wealth
now existing between different sections of mankind." He noted one recent
response to the unregulated operation of the world economic system: "The
third world has been driven by its poverty and the inexorable working of the
free-trade system to the discovery of the producer association. The Organization
of Petroleum [Exporting] Countries has changed fundamental equations of economic
power as decisively as did the Industrial Revolution." What the Almighty
will think of this is not certain, but what is fairly clear is that the inequality
of economic conditions between different nations has become politicized-in the
sense that in the community of nations it is a situation which is seen as appropriate
for collective political action.
Two further matters seem equally clear. First, the present situation is not
going to change very much very fast. Some large changes have occurred: the rise
of Japan and the decline of Britain. But in the main historic relationships
persist, changing only slowly. It has been pointed out that the ratio of per-capita
in-
come in America to that in the Soviet Union is today only ever so slightly lower
than it was before the Russian Revolution. If the Soviets have not closed the
gap in fifty-eight years of intense competitiveness, with a continent to work
with, what may be expected for the often artificial, frequently resource-poor
new nations of the world? Finally, it should be clear that what the United States
faces is a world of communist and socialist regimes-at various times twenty
or so nations in the world might be otherwise-in which the language of politics
is persistently refractive of any argument that might make American arrangements
appear attractive or even legitimate. Ideas, just now, are all against us. How,
then, is the American case to be presented? A first point, not that obvious,
is that the American case must be presented. It no longer speaks for itself,
as it may have done in 1945. Others no longer speak for it, as was the case
perhaps in 1918. From 1975 on, our competence with ideas and the vigor with
which we present and examine them will have consequences for us of a higher
order than we are familiar with. It has been remarked that in American foreign
policy there has been a tradition of high politics and low politics: high politics
being security politics and low politics being those other concerns, at once
symbolic and ideological and yet somehow workaday and even drab, which occupy,
let us say, most of the specialized agencies of the United Nations system.
It is, of course, precisely because the ideological disadvantage of the United
States is reversed in the case of so many other nations, especially the new
ones, that there is so much emphasis on ideological matters in international
forums. Here again it is essential to distinguish the socialist from the communist
impact on the world scene. American foreign policy could ignore "rhetoric"
so long as it was communist, on the repeatedly demonstrated grounds that such
rhetoric was not in itself much of a threat. It won no elections. Communism
everywhere "came out of a barrel of a gun." (Which only seemed to
enhance the "natural" primacy of security politics.) But this was
not, and is not, the case with the rhetoric and ideas of nationalist socialism.
They have great persuasiveness in the widest range of economic and political
settings,
our own included. But like any rhetoric it can be put to distorted and unproductive
purposes, and this has been done increasingly in the present world. To ignore
it or to deal with it badly is to make matters, in the present situation, worse
for ourselves and not better for anyone else, save the elites who manipulate
this rhetoric for their own narrow purposes.
Our task is to be compassionate and yet reasoning. It should be seen as a task,
an undertaking. It should be seen as something we have not done before. It should
not be seen as something we are not likely to do well.
We do not wholly believe our own case. There is the nub of it. If the influence
of "American" political ideas in the world reached its high point
in i g i g, and has declined generally in the world ever since, that influence
has declined in America also. It is scarcely elegant to chop up a century into
ideological epochs before any one ideology has fully run its course, and yet
there is a certain Hegelian structure to the libertarian, totalitarian, collectivist
sequence, and in that sequence "American" ideas grow steadily more
remote. In the meantime, subsequent waves of doctrine have broken on these shores
also, and have had their impact. Thus the Russian Revolution had an enormous,
and after a point quite visible, impact on American intellectual life. There
was a time-the 1930s, as Robert Warshow has written-when "virtually all
intellectual vitality was derived in one way or another from the Communist party."
A huge proportion of American intellectuals were within the party orbit; those
outside were likely to be in opposition and devoted much of themselves to maintaining
that opposition. In its Stalinist form, this doctrine was not only implacably
opposed to "American"' ideas, it was also viciously illiberal. Lying
became a routine tactic, and deceit a normal device; so that when this influence
began to move into the universities, as it did after World War II, resistance
to it was disorganized and uncomprehendingoften save only for the opposition
of ex-Communists and others of the Left who had been close enough to the phenomenon
to recognize it for what it was. Nonetheless; by the late i g6os the Stalinoid
student newspaper was common on campuses everywhere, and remains so. And as
the cohort of former communists
and anticommunist socialists gradually disappears, universities seem even more
uncomprehending and undefended than ever. It would not quite be accurate to
say that the wave of collectivist influence came next, as it did in the world
at large. In reality, it came first. The American encounter with both socialism
and communism has been greatly influenced by immigration, so much so as to be
in some ways as much an ethnic phenomenon as an ideological one. Immigrants
brought their doctrines with them, or were waiting when doctrine, as it were,
followed on the next ship. But socialism was a doctrine not only of continental
Europe and suchlike regions of emigration, but of Britain also. Indeed the most
prestigious and influential of all socialist movements-the least Marxist, by
far the most liberal, and the most brainy-was British socialism, especially
Fabian Socialism. More than a doctrine, it was a culture, such that by the early
years of the twentieth century, when America was still very much a colony in
such matters, merely to be cultured meant to be influenced by socialist doctrine.
At a time when still relatively few persons had "read an American book"
or in any event "seen an American play," which Americanif he saw plays
at all-had not seen one by Bernard Shaw? With time-a Fabian mode!-this influence
grew and spread. American arrangements changed under the influence: it might
not be too much to say they were transformed. The time came in postwar America
when avowedly communist ideas had become once again sectarian, at most a marginal
influence on the culture. But socialist ideas had by then gained the widest
currency, although rarely with socialist labels. Americans were becoming British
indeed, willing to change anything but the appearance of things-a sensible arrangement,
but not one that makes for intellectual clarity. Expenditure in the public sector,
largely for the provision of social services and myriad forms of redistribution,
rose to a third of the GNP. But somehow the point was lost as successive national
administrations denied they were engaged in any such social transformation.
Educated youth began to partake of that curiously dichotomous view of American
life to be encountered among the upper-class Left throughout the world. We are
seen as a society impacted and near traumatized with mindless mass consumption,
born of the need for capitalist profit, while simultaneously a society that
is near heartless in its treatment of the unpropertied-this too a consequence
of capitalist necessity.
All foreseen by Schumpeter! Capitalism, of its own intellectual vitality, would
create an intellectual class which in turn would delegitimize it. Could even
Schumpeter, however, have foreseen the utter collapse of libertarian defenses
in the second half of the twentieth century? The American. business system went
on doing tolerably well, or better than that, but proved wholly incapable of
making a case for itself. It did justifiable things; it could not justify them.
It did admirable things; it could not make them seem admirable. Postwar opinion
surveys trace a steady, inexorable decline of confidence in corporations, the
fundamental economic unit of the society, while baffled corporation executives
gathered at Greenbrier to ask why no one spoke up on what is right about America.
As if in response, their children deserted the business system, and the public
sector as a proportion of the Gross National Product rose to a third, and headed
for half at the turn of the century.
The symbols of progress, in Samuel Beer's term, had been captured by what was
no longer so clearly "the other side." It is important to be precise
at this point. There is no necessary sense in which nationalist socialism is
to be seen as a doctrine incompatible with American traditions and values. Even
to bring up the question suggests that such values and traditions are more precise
than in fact they are; it has previously been asserted that there has already
been a tremendous incorporation of socialist values and practices. If the United
States were to become a socialist democracy in the British manner, nothing indispensable
to our society would be lost. Living standards might fail to rise, might decline
relatively. The Labour Party report of 1942 noted that Britain was then the
second wealthiest nation in the world. Well, that is no longer so, but then
the United States is no longer the wealthiest either. The problem is that, in
its current manifestations in the world at large, socialist ideology is decidedly
antiAmerican and that, to the degree it informs the policies of a majority of
the nations of the world, those policies also become anti-American. This is
a situation we must seek to reverse, or else have little to complain about if
things don't go well.
Further, and more important, there should be no question that the totalitarian
powers stand to benefit greatly if relations between the United States and the
new socialist nations (including, of course, the increasingly leftist nations
of Latin America) become embittered and deadlocked. Prudence requires that we
assume the totalitarians could actively be seeking this outcome. If evidence
be needed, none could be more persuasive than the declaration adopted at the
Ministerial Meeting of the Coordination Bureau of the Non-Aligned Countries,
at which the Indian minister of external affairs spoke in March 1975. The bureau
met, to begin with, in the "nonaligned" capital of Havana. The language
of the "Declaration of Havana" is totalitarian: "The Bureau greets
the people of Cambodia's great and decisive victories over the sieged lackey
regime in Phnom Penh. . . ." The United States is anathematized in virtually
every paragraph. Western developed countries are enjoined "to cease obstaculizing
the United Nations." The Leninist rhetoric of imperialism is nicely folded
in with collectivist worries about consumerism.
The obstinacy of the imperialist powers in preserving the structures of colonial
and neocolonial exploitation which nurture their luxurious and superfluous consumer
societies while they keep a large part of humanity in misery and hunger....
The entire thrust of the document is to merge the rhetoric of the communist
states with that of the socialist ones, and to establish a unity of viewpoint
in fundamental opposition to the supposed views and behavior of the United States.
There were genuine democracies present at this meeting as members of the Non-Aligned
Bureau. There were a number of reasonably democratic countries on hand as observers.
And there were outright communist countries in both groups. It cannot be in
the interest of the United States, nor of these democratic countries, to be
in such company, to join in such declarations. At very least, it is
not in the interest of the United States that it should be. Those not certain
of this could do worse than consult the list headed "Delegations from the
following countries were also present as observers." (My italics.) After
the Palestinian Liberation Organization comes the Socialist Party of Puerto
Rico. (In point of fact, the communist party.)
There is-or there might well be, and it would be foolish not to entertain the
hypothesis-a process at work whereby democratic socialist regimes become less
democratic in situations of ;relative economic decline where disciplined totalitarian
cadres on the Left can offer support and influence. Certainly the "emergence"
of powerful communist influence in the British trade unions-after years of full
employment, socialist governments, a welfare stateat a time when such influence
should have been diminishing, has come as something of a surprise. Similarly,
in India, a once great socialist democracy finds itself governing in an open
coalition with the Communist Party of India, a small group but now one with
considerable influence. The danger, of course, is that such groups almost instinctively
opt for the old Stalinist tactic, "the worse the better." Wherever
they gain influence in democratic socialist regimes they act so as to increase
the probability that the regime will fail-in the expectation that they will
succeed to power, either directly or in stages. (Those who think this strategy
discredited by the German experience might well recall Walter Ulbricht's comfortable
life and peaceful death.) Surely it is within the capacity of such communist
cadres to see that the prospect of democratic socialist regimes collapsing in
the new nations will be considerably "improved" if an antagonistic
relationship can be developed with the United States that will cause the United
States to withdraw its concern and its support. This process is already visible,
and likely to hasten in the aftermath of the Indochina experience. Was it accident,
as the old Marxists would ask, that the day after the New York Times carried
a story from the Commonwealth conference headlined "MRS. GANDHI HAILS VICTORY
IN SAIGON," a story from MOSCOW was headed "MOSCOW APPLAUDS VICTORS
IN VIETMAN IN RESTRAINED TONE"?
If it is difficult to see just how the interests of nonaligned countries are
served by such statements, it is easy to see how they might serve the interests
of the totalitarian nations even more than at first appears. For the long-run
effect of uncontrolled rhetoric from the nonaligned, contrasted with rather
modulated and subtle responses from the totalitarian centers, could create a
curious compound tropism. The West as well as the South will find itself turning
East. Anything for a kind word. What a fantastic aftermath of the cold war!
And yet a possible one. In just this way the United States could find itself
responding to the state capitalism of the rest of the world with a state capitalism
of its own: nationalized and cartelized economies abroad doing business with
a not dissimilar economy here. Pragmatism will have proved our greatest failing,
as first one state trading arrangement is worked out, and then another; first
one cartel, and then another; with all the movement away from the American system.
If it were toward a true socialism, a case might be made. But this will nowhere
be the case, for nowhere is there socialism. In the communist world and among
the new nations what normally obtains are more or less brutal and thoroughly
exploitative versions of state capitalism run for the benefit of the new collectivist
elite. (Socialism in India, for example, has resulted, as Desai and Bhagwati
observe, in a rentier economy in which the key class lives off rents obtained
from the ubiquitous government license.) This is not, perhaps, what was intended,
but then ideologies produce surprises. A point, however, which American negotiators
are not likely to perceive, having in the main little sense of the ideologies
with which they are dealing, other than to know that they are somehow different
and somehow must be dealt with.
We must learn socialism as we once learned communism. There is, after all, a
respectable record of our having found ways to comprehend, and eventually to
interact with, Marxist-Leninist leaders. We have not much engaged the new nations
at the level of ideology. Over and above any sense that we might not come off
very well, there was, in American foreign policy circles, a kind of redskin
disdain for such paleface maundering. "Drip" was the
term with which one of the great men of postwar American foreign policy would
dismiss the crazy talk, as he saw it, which in the end would lead to such things
as quadrupling the price of oil. There _was also, possibly, a certain misreading
of the "end of ideology" thesis. As Seymour Martin Lipset has now
noted:
What we were referring to was a judgment that the passionate attachments of
an integrated revolutionary set of doctrines to the anti-system struggles of
working-class movements-and the consequent coherent counter-revolutionary doctrines
of some of their opponents-were declining, that they were, to repeat C. Wright
Mills' term, "a legacy from Victorian Marxism." They would not reemerge
in advanced industrial or "post-industrial societies," although they
would continue to exist in the least developed nations.
Well, of course, they have indeed continued, and have grown more intense, in
language at the very least. To meet the challenge so presented, low politics
are going to have to be elevated somewhat. The United States government now
has more than its share of intelligence and energy within its bounds, and more
is yet available. But such talent will not be directed to this range of matters
unless it is known that the issues are seen to be important. It needs also to
be understood within the larger society, and notably within the circles concerned
with foreign policy, that to deal with these matters is no longer to court the
easy approbation that may once have come from going along with whatever seemed
the sentiment of the hour. Not only outside but within the United States, persons
charged with this responsibility will encounter suspicion and hostility from
just those quarters where they might wish their actions to be most clearly understood
and even valued.
One hesitates to prescribe, and yet we are not altogether without experience
in coping with such situations. It is an honored maxim of folk medicine that
cures are found where maladies arise. Something similar holds in politics. The
American response to communism in the world, and within America itself, was
enormously informed, even fashioned, by persons who had been near to or even
involved with that doctrine. In the present not so very different situation,
it is on the Democratic Left that we are most
likely to find both informed and unintimidated advocates of a vigorous American
role in world affairs, and equally unashamed partisans of American performance.
In the clamor of recent years, with so many newer voices and shriller ones raised
in protest of one form or another, the social democrats of America have had
difficulty being heard. But they are with us now as they were with us before,
closely involved with the labor movement, committed to long perspectives in
politics, and able somehow to live without overmuch illusion. In a curious way
the world struggle between democratic and totalitarian socialism goes on in
this country, too. If the essential statement to be made about presenting the
American case is that those elements in American society which might most be
expected to do this are today the least disposed to do so, and the least able,
then the next most important statement is that in the present circumstances
the most effective presentation of the American case is likely to come from
just those quarters which have been least associated with the celebration of
liberal capitalism. It is not that the labor movement and the social democrats
like what we have, so much as that they are aware of the alternatives, and acculturated,
if the term may be used, to the realm of ideology in which the American case
must be presented. In time a foreign service might be trained to this task,
but it will be difficult. Its recruits will come from universities where, in
the main, the American case is not believed. They will, in the main, be the
offspring of a demoralized business class where the American case is not thought
to be important. In any event it will be a long task. For the moment we should
look to the defenders we have. As in point of fact we are not likely to do this,
we must accordingly not expect to be well defended.